Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.102317 0.156607 0.220664 0.299385 0.391414 0.493821 0.614748
2026-02-01 0.028876 0.082309 0.162825 0.277849 0.427130 0.606201 0.830232
2026-02-08 0.004054 0.040585 0.117904 0.245775 0.426142 0.654179 0.950193
2026-02-15 NaN 0.021349 0.095404 0.236097 0.448100 0.726457 1.096907
2026-02-22 NaN 0.012480 0.085547 0.241354 0.487530 0.819012 1.267251
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005626 0.073123 0.238470 0.512983 0.891910 1.412139
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001085 0.056887 0.223753 0.517866 0.935402 1.518216
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000602 0.059493 0.246079 0.580023 1.057370 1.726316
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000307 0.062397 0.268966 0.643256 1.181193 1.937398
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000024 0.060844 0.281604 0.689990 1.282227 2.119018
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000019 0.067120 0.312141 0.766030 1.424643 2.355528
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.068701 0.331814 0.824498 1.542680 2.560372
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.062486 0.333827 0.856303 1.626794 2.725674
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.046576 0.308214 0.840779 1.643627 2.802462
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.030703 0.274865 0.808194 1.633442 2.841144
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.023831 0.264407 0.814099 1.678069 2.952656
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.021874 0.270040 0.849081 1.765596 3.122536
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.018058 0.266962 0.867401 1.828168 3.258409
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.012214 0.251296 0.860611 1.852418 3.341400
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.014530 0.275055 0.930357 1.992754 3.584583
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.017005 0.299351 1.001185 2.134868 3.830455
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.017234 0.312744 1.050970 2.245284 4.032916
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.021432 0.345043 1.137423 2.411342 4.312230